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Grayzee’s Week 8 Picks + Week 7 Recap

Week 7 was a slightly more predictable week for the NFL, with less crazy upsets and general madness.  It was a nice bounce-back week for me.

OAK 31 – KC 30.  One of the games I did get wrong was this one.  The Raiders saved their season in epic fashion, and I truly enjoyed staying up to watch this game, even if I got the pick wrong.  This is the kind of primetime matchup the NFL needs, great plays, crazy finishes, and maybe a bit of drama mixed in (I’m looking at you, Marshawn).

MIN 24 – BAL 16.  The Ravens offense continues to not be good enough, and they’ve now lost 4 out of their last 5.  Pittsburgh already appears to be running away with this division.  And is Case Keenum the guy for Minnesota, at least this year?  We’ll see.

NO 26 – GB 17.  The Packers seem to win almost every game at Lambeau… when they have Aaron Rodgers at QB.  Unfortunately for Packers fans, this is life without him, and going up against a hot Saints team, they took an L.  The good news is that doctors say Rodgers might be back at the end of the season, and he can possibly be there for a Packer playoff run if Brett Hundley does a good enough job.

MIA 31 – NYJ 28.  Picking the Dolphins really helped elevate my picks, as the Jets blew a 28-14 lead.  Backup QB Matt Moore helped lead Miami to victory (is he going to be starting ahead of Cutler now?).  The tank might be back on schedule for the Jets, whereas the Dolphins look to be legitimate contenders for the AFC Wild Card, or dare I say, the AFC East?

CHI 17 – CAR 3.  It was a disgusting offensive performance for both teams.  Good job, Eddie Jackson.

LA 33 – ARZ 0.  Carson Palmer is out for about 8 weeks, and so it’s now officially a 2-team competition for the NFC West crown.  The Rams continue to look good, and are 5-2.  Eventually, I think they’ll win the “Battle for LA”.  Their 3-1 start last year was a fluke.  This ain’t a fluke though.

BUF 30 – TB 27.  In another pick that helped me rebound, I took the Bills at home to narrowly beat the Bucs.  And they did just that.  They have now won 3 out of 4, and appear to be legitimate contenders for the AFC Wild Card, or dare I say, the AFC East?  Wait… that’s the same thing I said about Miami.

JAC 27 – IND 0.  Jacksonville’s defense shut down Jacoby Brissett, and Bortles had a decent game, throwing for 33o yards and no interceptions.  Jacksonville is now 4-3, and with the way the Titans looked against Cleveland, they have a very legit shot at getting the AFC South crown.  Speaking of the Titans…

TEN 12 – CLE 9 (OT).  Last week, I called the Titans winning the closest thing we have to a “sure pick” this season.  And sure enough, they won, but barely!  This was an ugly win for Tennessee, as their offense continues to find inconsistencies.  As for the Browns, I… I just don’t know what to say.  They’re messing up Deshone Kizer (it’s not Deshone’s fault they’re 0-7).

DAL 40 – SF 10.  Well, that was a blowout.  Zeke went insane, and the thoughts of a possible Niners upset vanished pretty early in the game.  I picked Dallas, but I thought it could’ve been a trap game for them.  Nonetheless, San Fran is 0-7, and the Cowboys are back on track with a 3-3 record.

PIT 29 – CIN 14.  There’s the usual drama inside the Steelers’ locker room, now with the whole Martavis Bryant saga… but they keep on winning.  Pittsburgh is 5-2 and look like they will win the AFC North with ease.  Also, JuJu Smith-Schuster looks nice.  As for Cincy, they have locker room drama of their own with Joe Mixon.  He does need to get some more carries.

SEA 24 – NYG 7.  And my stupid pick of the week was my homerism pick of the New York Giants.  I should’ve realized they weren’t ready to make some miraculous run, as their season is NOW officially over.  It’s time to tank for Saquon.  This offense was completely dead, and although the wide receivers were injured, let’s not kid ourselves.  The Giants receiving corps was mostly healthy when they were 0-4.  This is a BAD team.  As for the Seahawks, they’re 4-2… but boy are they overrated.  They trailed the Giants 7-3 at halftime, and I still like the Rams to win the NFC West.

LAC 21 – DEN 0.  So… picking Denver was a mistake.  Their offense continued to embarrass themselves, as September Trevor Simeian appears to be long gone.  At the end of the day, the Chargers look to establish themselves as a legit AFC Wild Card contender.  Despite their 0-4 start, they’ve won 3 in a row, whereas Denver has lost 3 out of their last 4.

NE 23 – ATL 7.  I thought Atlanta would win this game if they were hungry enough, but I just trusted the Pats more.  And sure enough, they humiliated the Falcons again in the Super Bowl LI rematch that didn’t quite live up to expectations.  The Falcons were too gutsy on fourth down, leading to a minuscule 7 points on the scoreboard.  As for the Pats, they’re 5-2, and their defense appears to be back on track.

PHI 34 – WAS 24.  Well, even Giants fans like myself must now admit it; the eagles are currently the NFL’s best team.  Losing Jordan Hicks and Jason Peters will be tough, but the truly great teams have the “next man up” mentality.  If the Eagles are to continue winning, that’s what they must do.  Carson Wentz is an absolute monster, and looks like an MVP candidate.  Kirk Cousins and the Skins will bounce back, and are still very much in the Wild Card race.

So after those decent 11-4 picks, can I improve?

MIA @ BAL.  Maybe this is an upset pick, but I think Matt Moore will bring some new life to the Dolphins. The Ravens are ice cold, whereas Miami has won 3 in a row.  I will trust the team with the hot hand, and pick Miami to win 24-20 in my upset of the week (Baltimore is a 3-pt favorite).

MIN @ CLE.  Don’t screw it up, Vikings.  Minnesota wins 27-13 in my lock of the week.

LAC @ NE.  The Chargers may have won 3 in a row, but playing in New England will do them no favors.  The Patriots have gotten their defensive problems figured out, and Tom Brady is Tom Brady.  The Pats will win 34-24.

CHI @ NO.  The Saints are marching in with 4 straight victories.  They don’t want to be the next Rams, going 7-9 every year.  They make it 5 in a row against the Bears.  Chicago’s defense has looked good and they have a nice run game, but I definitely trust Brees over Mitch.  Saints win 30-23.

CAR @ TB.  The Bucs are now 2-4, and are likely desperate to save their season.  At home against another struggling team in the Panthers, they will win 28-24.  Though it wouldn’t surprise me if Cam Newton gets his swag back and the Panthers get the W.

IND @ CIN.  Unfortunately for the Colts, Andrew Luck is still out.  The 2-4 Bengals will be desperate to save their season, while Indy’s season already appears to be over.  I’m picking the home team here, and Cincy should get it done by a 27-17 score.

OAK @ BUF.  The Raiders will be jump-started by their win last week, which many people thought saved their season.  The 4-2 Bills are nothing to sneeze at, but I definitely trust Derek Carr to beat Tyrod Taylor.  Oakland will win 30-24.

SF @ PHI.  Philly wins 40-10.  Next.

ATL @ NYJ.  I’ve talked about teams that are desperate to save their season a lot in this article.  Well, guess what?  The Falcons have lost 3 straight, and need a win to get things back on track.  The Jets, meanwhile, will probably begin a serious losing streak.  I expect Atlanta to win 30-21.

HOU @ SEA.  Deshaun Watson and the Texans are fresh off the bye week, but it’s going to be hard for them to beat a more experienced Seattle team on the road.  Despite my assertion that Seattle is overrated, their home field advantage and stout defense will help them win this game 24-16.

DAL @ WAS.  The Cowboys may have dominated the 49ers last week, but I think Washington will get it done at home.  It will be a close game, as Dallas is good on both the offensive and defensive lines.  But Kirk Cousins will propel Washington to a 31-24 win.

PIT @ DET.  The Lions are fresh off their bye week, and Pittsburgh isn’t a very good road team.  I think Matthew Stafford will lead Detroit to a W at home, by a score of 31-20.

DEN @ KC.  The Chiefs and the Broncos are both on a bit of a losing streak, but I trust KC to break theirs.  They are playing in Arrowhead against a team that has struggled mightily on offense.  Give me the Chiefs to win 27-13.

My Pick Record This Season: 59-48 (Things are back on track)

My Lock of the Week Record: 4-3

My Upset of the Week Record: 2-5

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